12 goals from 5.13 expected: Janine Sonis

12 goals from 5.13 expected: Janine Sonis. The positive gap survives removing any one match. Match and season records do not agree exactly. Removing one appearance can change the leader. The positive gap appears in both halves.

12
goals: 5.13
expected goals: +6.87
gap, largest of the 10 shown: 2,841
minutes, Denver Summit FC

The path through the tests

Each test was run on the published record. Choose one to read its result and evidence.

Challenged

Does the lead survive removing any one appearance?

Removing one appearance can change the leader.

1 of 29 removal tests lose the lead, counting ties as retaining it. The original comparison population and other players' records stay fixed. This tests the ranking, not whether the positive gap exists.

Inspect the exact evidence

Where the stronger claim fails
Date	Remaining goals	Remaining xG	Remaining gap	Still largest
10 May	10	4.8454	5.1546	No

Take out one appearance

Each bar is her remaining goals minus expected goals with that appearance removed, a result the investigation computed. Choose a bar. The dashed line is the next largest gap in the group, Ashley Sanchez.

Remove an appearance

All 29 removals leave the gap above zero. 28 keep her ahead of the group; 1 does not. The gap and the lead are different claims: the gap survives every removal, the lead does not.

Both halves of her appearances

Earlier appearances, 14 Mar to 26 Jul

+3.46

6 goals against 2.54 expected in 1,358 minutes over 14 appearances

Later appearances, 3 Aug to 1 Nov

+3.42

6 goals against 2.58 expected in 1,483 minutes over 15 appearances

Source date, population and limits

Evidence observed 21 September 2026 to 2 November 2026. Completed non-knockout matches with complete stint metrics; five-source provenance retained. Excluded rows: 29 outside the match scope, 0 missing a measure, 0 with zero minutes, 0 incomplete stints.

Dated admitted observations, not a live feed.
Descriptive tests, not causal evidence, forecasts or statistical significance.
Selection and follow-up tests use the same corpus; they are not independent holdout results.
Player-club stints remain separate. Only completed non-knockout matches with complete stint metrics enter the search.
A reviewed, bounded investigation policy; it does not invent or execute arbitrary methods.

Revision cd192a89d75ff899, published 5 November 2026

How this view was chosen

Drawn as Stress test. Each view checks what this publication carries; the first whose checks all pass is drawn.

Outcome field: not used, it needs one points-guide artifact
Stress test: every check passed
Rank shift: not used, it needs one rank-map artifact
Question tree: not used, it needs one question-map artifact

Every control selects a result the publication already holds. Nothing is computed in your browser.